Artificial Atlas

Who is betting on what in AI, and against whom.

Camps

Learn from experience

Intelligence is online reinforcement learning from a reward stream. Static datasets and the train-then-deploy split are a detour, and current deep learning cannot learn continually.

Small by design, with one $1.1B exception
SignalScalar reward from interaction, plus self-generated subgoals (options) Scalar reward from interaction
WhenContinually, at runtime, forever. No train/deploy boundary Continually at runtime, no train/deploy boundary
RepresentationWhatever the agent builds online: learned features and options, no replay buffer Features and options built online
Acts inAny environment, ultimately embodied. Target: 20 watts The physical world · Simulated environments

In plain words

The other camps train once, then freeze. This one says that is the mistake. Intelligence is an agent learning continually from a stream of experience and reward, building its own features and sub-goals as it goes, with no line between training and deployment.

Sutton's Bitter Lesson and the Alberta Plan are the founding documents; the 2025 essay 'Welcome to the Era of Experience' by Silver and Sutton is the manifesto. The engineering problem is that current deep networks lose plasticity and forget: a network trained on one thing for long enough stops being able to learn the next thing.

Until 2026 the camp was deliberately tiny. Then David Silver left DeepMind, raised $1.1B for Ineffable Intelligence, and Sutton left Keen to found Oak Lab with a target of a trillion-parameter agent learning in real time on 20 watts. Prime Intellect sells the tooling; Adaption Labs sells models that learn on the fly. Public results are still at toy scale.

Unfamiliar terms are in the glossary.

Where it stands

The camp doubled in size in 2026. Silver left DeepMind in January and raised $1.1B by April; Sutton and Javed left Keen in July to found Oak Lab in Toronto. Public results are toy-scale so far. The plasticity and catastrophic-forgetting problems are named but not solved. Sutton gives one-in-four odds of human-level AI by 2030.

What would prove them right. An agent that keeps improving after deployment in a non-stationary environment without forgetting, at a scale where frozen transformers plateau.

The disagreements, both sides cited

Can today's deep learning learn continually, or does it need new primitives?

Sutton, Oak LabCurrent methods 'need not more tweaks, but fundamentally new ideas and a thorough reworking'; loss of plasticity is structural.
Silver, Ineffable; Prime Intellect; Adaption LabsReinforcement learning at scale on top of existing architectures can get there; the missing piece is the experience stream, not the network.

Is the LLM camp already doing this?

LLM labsRL on verifiable rewards plus agents that act in the world is learning from experience.
This campThat is offline RL on a frozen model with a replay buffer; nothing learns after deployment.
Sources Welcome to the Era of Experience (Silver & Sutton) Google DeepMind 2025-04-10 · DeepSeek-R1 arXiv 2025-01-22

What to watch

People (18)

Researchers 16

ABAndrew BartoUniversity of Massachusetts Amherst, Professor emeritus
MBMichael BowlingAmii / University of Alberta, Professor, University of Alberta; Amii fellow
EBEmma BrunskillStanford University, Professor
JCJeff CluneUniversity of British Columbia, Associate professor; Canada CIFAR AI Chair, Vector Institute
SHSara HookerAdaption Labs, Co-founder and CEO
KJKhurram JavedOak Lab, Co-founder
Michael LittmanMichael LittmanBrown University, Professor
MCMarlos C. MachadoAmii / University of Alberta, Assistant professor, University of Alberta; Amii fellow
PPPatrick PilarskiAmii / University of Alberta, Professor, University of Alberta; Amii fellow
Doina PrecupDoina PrecupMcGill University and Mila, Professor; Canada CIFAR AI Chair
SRSudip RoyAdaption Labs, Co-founder
DSDavid SilverIneffable Intelligence, Founder
KSKenneth StanleyLila Sciences, SVP of open-endedness
Peter StonePeter StoneUT Austin, Professor
Richard SuttonRichard SuttonOak Lab, Co-founder
AWAdam WhiteAmii / University of Alberta, Professor, University of Alberta; Amii fellow

Founders 2

John CarmackJohn CarmackKeen Technologies, Founder
VWVincent WeisserPrime Intellect, Co-founder and CEO

Researchers have held a research or faculty role; scientist-founders count. Founders, executives and investors are listed separately so nobody mistakes a boardroom for a lab. Where someone argues for a different camp than the one they work in, it says so.

Where it is studied

Universities and institutes with people in this camp, from the roles recorded here. Not a ranking, and not complete: a place is listed when someone in the atlas works there.

Also publishing here (13)

Senior authors in this camp's core literature, found through the alphaXiv research index and listed on the strength of one paper each. Being on this list means they publish in the field, not that they have taken a side. The full list is on the People page.

Labs and companies (8)

Adaption LabsModels that learn on the fly without retraining; $50M seed.
Amii / University of AlbertaHome of the Alberta Plan.
Google DeepMind NASDAQ:GOOGLAlphaZero lineage and the 'Era of Experience' essay. RL head David Silver left in January 2026 to found Ineffable Intelligence.
Ineffable Intelligence $5.10B valuationSilver's 'superlearner' that learns without human data; $1.1B at $5.1B.
Keen TechnologiesCarmack's AGI lab. Sutton and Javed left in 2026 to found Oak Lab.
Oak LabContinual learning from raw experience; target 1T parameters at 20 W. Founded July 2026.
Prime Intellect $1B valuationOpen RL environments and decentralized training; models that keep improving in production.
Sakana AI $2.65B valuationEvolutionary and open-ended search over models.

Also active here: Lila Sciences (Open-endedness research under Kenneth Stanley.); Physical Intelligence (Levine's wing is philosophically closer to the experience camp.).

Signature ideas

The Bitter Lesson

Sutton's 2019 essay: methods that use more computation (search and learning) always beat methods that encode human knowledge. Every camp quotes it; this one takes it literally.

Read The Bitter Lesson (Sutton) incompleteideas.net 2019-03-13
Alberta Plan (12 steps)

A 2022 roadmap from Sutton, Bowling and Pilarski for building an agent that learns continually, from prediction of a single signal up to planning with learned options.

Read The Alberta Plan for AI Research arXiv 2022-08-23
OaK architecture

Options and Knowledge: an agent that invents its own sub-goals (options) and learns models of them, all online. The namesake of Oak Lab.

Continual backprop / plasticity

Deep networks lose the ability to learn new things the longer they train. A 2024 Nature paper measured it and proposed reinitialising unused units.

Era of Experience

Silver and Sutton's 2025 essay: the age of human data is ending; the next leap comes from agents generating their own experience.

Reward is enough

The 2021 claim that a single scalar reward, maximised in a rich environment, is sufficient to produce every ability we call intelligence.

Read Reward is enough (Silver, Singh, Precup, Sutton) Artificial Intelligence 2021-10-01
Big-world hypothesis

The world is far larger than any agent, so no agent can be trained to completion; it has to keep approximating and keep learning.

Read in this order

  1. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed.) 2018

    Sutton and Barto. Read chapters 1, 3 and 6 before anything else.

  2. Mastering Chess and Shogi by Self-Play with a General Reinforcement Learning Algorithm 2017

    AlphaZero. Superhuman play from self-generated experience alone.

  3. Reward is Enough 2021

    Silver, Singh, Precup and Sutton: the hypothesis that reward maximization is sufficient for intelligence.

  4. The Alberta Plan for AI Research 2022

    A twelve-step program for continual, online agents. The camp's roadmap.

  5. Loss of plasticity in deep continual learning 2024

    Why standard deep networks stop learning when trained forever, and one fix.

  6. Welcome to the Era of Experience 2025

    Silver and Sutton's case that human data has run out and agents must generate their own.

How money reaches this camp

LabAccessNote
Google DeepMindNASDAQ:GOOGLAlphabet (GOOGL) keeps the AlphaZero lineage, minus Silver.
Ineffable Intelligenceprivate$5.1B; Sequoia and Lightspeed.
Prime Intellectprivate$1B; the picks-and-shovels play for RL environments.
Adaption Labsprivate$50M seed.
Oak LabprivateFunding undisclosed.
Keen Technologiesprivate$20M in 2022; Carmack-funded.

Not investment advice. Private valuations are what the last round implied; "reported" means the press, not the company, gave the figure. Full table on the Capital page.